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Research Expenditures of Chinese EV Firms are Higher Than Those of Tesla

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The first-quarter profits of the four automakers show that Chinese electric car businesses with listings in the United States are investing more in research relative to sales than Tesla.

It’s a survival tactic in the very competitive global auto market in China. Both battery- and hybrid-powered vehicles are considered new energy vehicles, and their share of sales has increased significantly to over 40%.

According to Paul Gong, an auto analyst at UBS, many Chinese automakers already spend as much as or more on research and development as a percentage of revenue, which is a considerable rise from many years ago.“In certain cases, even in terms of absolute dollars, it has bypassed.”

Nio, the top-ranked Chinese electric car company with a U.S. listing, allocated over 29% of its income to research and development during the first three months of the year. Compared to Tesla, which had a ratio of 4.2% in the second quarter and 5.4% in the first, that is far greater. The business owned by Elon Musk is renowned for having a low ratio.

Less is known about whether the increased spending will result in sustained competitiveness.

For years, Nio has operated at a loss, and only in the last few months has it begun to receive delivery of its high-end vehicles. The firm has hosted events to showcase its battery services and other innovations in addition to car premieres in previous years. One such event was on automobile “quality” in late June.

At the ceremony, Feng Shen, the head of Nio’s quality management committee, said in Mandarin, “Everyone is talking about involution right now.” He was using a Chinese expression that’s often used to characterize intense competition, particularly in the electric vehicle sector.

Shen stated, “What companies should [compete] on is quality,” and that “there’s nothing you can say if you can’t do a good job on quality.” He outlined Nio’s comprehensive strategy for improving product quality, which focuses mostly on supply chain innovation and new technology.

Shen, an executive vice president of Nio, was previously the president of Polestar, a high-end electric vehicle company in China. Shen has also held quality management positions at Ford Motor in both China and the United States.

In September 2022, Nio inaugurated its second factory in Hefei City, which serves as a production base for other automakers. The plant employs about 2,000 people total, including 756 robots that help automate much of the production process.

Regarding worldwide production, Li stated that Nio would follow the same manufacturing standard but did not provide specific plans for other countries.

proximity of the supply chain The provincial capital of Anhui, located west of Shanghai, is Hefei. China claims the area, known as the Yangtze River Delta, is home to so many factories that a maker of new energy vehicles can locate all the parts they need in a four-hour journey.

In a statement, China’s Ministry of Industry and Information Technology said that it has collaborated with automakers and suppliers to develop hundreds of industry best-practice examples and application benchmarks for smart manufacturing.

With an emphasis on Chinese vehicles, Jing Yang, a director in Fitch Ratings’ Asia-Pacific corporate ratings office, stated that “A key competitive advantage for Chinese companies in China is actually the highly effective or efficient supply chain,” 

She pointed out that this can assist Chinese electric vehicle manufacturers in reacting to consumer and market demands faster than conventional automakers.

The U.S.-listed electric vehicle company Zeekr and the Hong Kong-listed automotive behemoth Geely are based in Zhejiang province, another portion of the region.

According to Zeekr’s first-quarter earnings, R&D accounted for 13% of sales. Parent Geely has increased its research spending dramatically over the last four years, allocating at least 4% of revenue to the endeavor. However, the company did not disclose this amount in its first-quarter report.

While the business is working to develop both hardware and software for cars, Geely’s vice president of auto R&D, Ren Xiangfei, stated late last month that the latter can offer more differentiation.

Security, entertainment, and driver-assistance software are all included in cars.

Ren pointed out that because new energy cars have larger batteries than conventional fuel-powered cars, they can accommodate more of these services.

“This will introduce a new concept, the software-defined car,” he declared.

The “Aegis Short Blade Battery,” which Geely introduced last month, passed tests beyond industry standards without blowing up.

It is a competitor to BYD’s “blade battery,” which is credited with propelling the business into the lead position in EVs. The China Passenger Car Association reports that in terms of new energy vehicle sales in the first half of the year, Geely came in second and Tesla third.

According to Ren, the new battery will initially be installed in Geely cars. This will result in an approximate $1,000 rise in production costs above those of competing vehicles.

He stated that because the chemical formula for producing batteries is more developed, it is now more crucial to guarantee consistency in production. “That requires the support of a smart factory.”

Additionally, Geely unveiled the SEA electric car architecture, which it claims enables faster manufacture of various vehicle sizes.

“Vehicle platform is probably the most important thing to look at, and then consistency with their approach,” said Snow Bull Capital CEO Taylor Ogan, who is headquartered in Shenzhen.

It’s critical, he said, to observe that a business is delivering on its promises pretty quickly and that distinct teams are already at work on upcoming product releases. He stated,  “I think that’s the clear differentiator.” 

Automakers versus IT businesses Research expenditure to sales, or R&D intensity, is a proxy for IT innovation, but UBS’s Gong issued a warning about it.

“If they can sell more cars with better profitability, that basically means their innovative ways are probably right. Some of it may not have cool features,” Gong stated. It might involve systemic cost-cutting.” “Less fancy, but really powerful.”

Xpeng’s first-quarter R&D intensity was 20%. Li Auto’s share was just 11%, but its range-extending automobiles have outsold fully battery-electric cars by a wide margin.

In terms of total U.S. dollars, Hong Kong-listed BYD invested $1.47 billion, or 8.5% of its revenue, in research during the first quarter. That exceeds the $1.15 billion that Tesla invested in R&D during that same period.

Electric car manufacturers are trying to differentiate themselves in the future from CATL and Huawei in the software and battery markets, respectively, according to Jing Liu, a professor of accounting and finance and the director of the investment research center at the Cheung Kong Graduate School of Business.

According to Liu, it is improbable for a company to outperform both suppliers in terms of quality, which implies that automakers would ultimately find it challenging to differentiate themselves in a market where consumers may quickly move between brands.

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Hyzon is the most recent startup backed by SPAC to fail

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Hyzon Motors, a hydrogen fuel cell developer, has shut down after struggling to sustain operations since going public during the 2020-2021 SPAC boom. Despite positive press, warning signs persisted, culminating in the company’s downfall.

A Rocky Start and SEC Troubles

Hyzon, a spinoff from Singapore’s Horizon Fuel Cell Technologies, raised $550 million in 2021 through a reverse merger with Decarbonization Plus Acquisition Corp. However, its operations were focused on Europe, Australia, and China, with no U.S. or North American business initially.

In 2021, short-seller Blue Orca Capital accused Hyzon of fabricating orders in China, leading to an SEC investigation. The company paid a $25 million fine, and CEO Craig Knight was replaced in 2022 by Parker Meeks, a former McKinsey & Co. partner.

Attempts to Revive the Business

Under Meeks, Hyzon closed its European and Australian operations and focused on specific markets like refuse trucks. The company also partnered with Fontaine Modification to retrofit Freightliner Cascadia trucks with 110-kilowatt fuel cell systems while developing a larger 200-kW system.

Despite technological progress, Hyzon struggled to generate sales. By the third quarter of 2023, it had only $100,000 in revenue. With just $14 million in cash, the board decided on December 19 to pay creditors and shut down operations. Remaining employees in Michigan and Illinois are set to lose their jobs by February 2024.

Optimism Faded

Until its third-quarter earnings call, Meeks expressed hope, citing potential fleet contracts and falling hydrogen prices, which were projected to drop to $10-$12 per kilogram by 2025. However, Hyzon’s high truck costs and inability to secure large orders sealed its fate.

Broader Industry Struggles

Hyzon’s collapse is part of a broader trend among hydrogen fuel cell and SPAC-funded startups. German company Quantron AG entered insolvency in late 2023, while Nikola Corporation faces funding challenges. Other SPAC-backed ventures like Lordstown Motors and Embark Trucks also failed due to financial difficulties.

Hyliion, however, has managed to thrive by pivoting to a fuel-agnostic stationary generator business, securing contracts, and achieving a significant stock price increase in 2023.

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Japan’s efforts to create a dual-purpose defense startup environment

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To stay competitive in the global technological race, Japan must merge its defence and civilian innovation ecosystems, which involve diverse stakeholders. In September 2024, Japan’s Ministry of Defense and Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry unveiled the concept of a “dual-use startup ecosystem.” This initiative seeks to integrate startups into research and development (R&D) to meet the technological demands of defence equipment.

Strengthening Defence Innovation

Prior to the announcement, the government identified approximately 200 startups in July 2023, outlining plans to support these companies with defence-related equipment and financial assistance to ease their entry into the market. The startups specialize in advanced fields such as drones, cyber defence, satellite communications, and electromagnetic wave technologies.

Leading this initiative is the Ministry of Defense’s Acquisition, Technology, and Logistics Agency through its newly established Defense Innovation Science and Technology Institute (October 2024). The aim is to efficiently incorporate civilian technologies into defence equipment, aligning with global trends where private-sector innovation plays a growing role in defence development. The model draws inspiration from the U.S. Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA) and the Defense Innovation Unit, which rapidly integrate private-sector advancements into defence projects.

Historical Roots and Persistent Challenges

Japan’s push for dual-use technologies is not entirely new. Efforts began with the 2013 National Security Strategy and the 2014 Strategy on Defense Production and Technological Bases, emphasizing public-private partnerships. These policies responded to challenges like globalized supply chains, Japan’s deteriorating security environment, the shrinking defence industry, and the need for technological cooperation with allies.

However, gaps between policy and implementation have hindered progress. A major issue is the low profitability of the defence industry, which has driven many private companies out of the sector. Reform efforts must offer stronger incentives for startups to participate. While increased defence spending has benefited traditional firms, smaller companies and startups face uncertain gains.

Another obstacle is the private sector’s cautious stance on defence R&D, rooted in Japan’s post-war anti-militarist norms. Many academic and industrial players perceive military involvement as a reputational risk in the predominantly civilian-focused business landscape.

For instance, the Ministry of Defense’s 2015 research funding initiative faced strong opposition from the academic community, including the Science Council of Japan, which criticized it for potentially restricting free scientific inquiry. This resistance has limited the impact of defence-related reforms, and startups entering the sector may encounter similar challenges.

Emerging Opportunities in a Changing Context

Despite these hurdles, Japan’s new dual-use startup ecosystem reflects an evolving political and social landscape. Since the 2010s, Japan’s national security policies have shifted to address growing security threats and fiscal constraints. Public opinion has gradually become more open to pragmatic national security measures, although resistance persists in some sectors.

Startups, particularly those led by younger entrepreneurs who are less tied to traditional business norms, are poised to play a pivotal role in this policy’s success.

Economic Security as a Catalyst

Economic security policies are further driving changes in Japan’s defence innovation ecosystem. The 2022 Economic Security Promotion Act has marked the beginning of “economic securitisation,” incorporating critical and emerging technologies into national policy. Initiatives like the “Key and Advanced Technology R&D through Cross Community Collaboration Program” have expanded R&D budgets, with applications spanning both civilian and military domains under the label of “multi-use” technologies.

By framing defence-related R&D as part of economic security, the government is addressing concerns within Japan’s political culture. This approach may reduce normative barriers for companies and universities to engage in defence-related activities.

A Defining Moment for Japan’s Innovation Ecosystem

As economic securitisation gains traction, Japan faces an opportunity to establish a robust defence innovation ecosystem. However, this moment also demands tough decisions from the private sector about their involvement in defence projects. Balancing commercial interests with normative considerations will shape the future of Japan’s defence and civilian innovation integration.

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Microsoft plans to incorporate non-OpenAI AI models into its 365 Copilot products

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Microsoft is expanding its flagship AI product, Microsoft 365 Copilot, by integrating both internal and third-party AI models to diversify beyond its reliance on OpenAI’s technology and reduce operational costs, according to sources familiar with the matter.

This marks a shift for Microsoft, a major investor in OpenAI, which previously highlighted its exclusive access to OpenAI’s models as a key advantage. When Microsoft introduced 365 Copilot in March 2023, its use of OpenAI’s GPT-4 model was a primary selling point.

The company now seeks to reduce its dependence on OpenAI due to concerns about cost and performance for enterprise users, the sources said. A Microsoft spokesperson confirmed that OpenAI remains a key partner for advanced AI models, but Microsoft also customizes OpenAI’s models as part of their agreement.

“We incorporate various models from OpenAI and Microsoft depending on the product and experience,” Microsoft stated. OpenAI declined to comment.

Microsoft is training its own smaller models, including the latest Phi-4, and customizing open-weight models to make 365 Copilot faster and more cost-effective. These efforts aim to lower operational expenses and potentially reduce costs for customers, sources said.

Microsoft’s leadership, including CEO Satya Nadella, is closely monitoring these developments.

This strategy aligns with changes in other Microsoft units, such as GitHub, which added models from Anthropic and Google in October alongside OpenAI’s GPT-4. Similarly, its consumer chatbot Copilot now integrates both in-house and OpenAI models.

Microsoft 365 Copilot, an AI assistant for enterprise applications like Word and PowerPoint, is still proving its value to businesses. While adoption among Fortune 500 companies has reached 70%, many enterprises remain in the pilot phase, according to Gartner. Pricing and utility have been cited as potential hurdles.

Despite these challenges, adoption is accelerating. Analysts at BNP Paribas Exane predict that Microsoft will sell 365 Copilot to over 10 million paid users this year. In a November blog post, Microsoft highlighted its growing traction within large enterprises.

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